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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vance | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Illegal Alien | 100% | +38 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 3+ times | 100% | +74 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million 10+ times | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 20+ | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax Queen | 0% | −51 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 0% | −61 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Debate | 0% | −70 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax 10+ times | 0% | −72 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala 40+ times | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hezbollah | 100% | +63 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Disgrace 2+ times | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Obamacare/Affordable Care Act | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| School Shooter | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ronald Reagan | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| President Xi 2+ times | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 749d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Illegal Alien | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,038 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 749d | LlamaEnjoyer | Border 30+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,171 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 749d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,918 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 749d | WigglyWaffles | Trans | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
| 749d |  Milktoast | Tax 10+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,625 | +$45 +2.8% | 20 |
| 749d |  Dropper | Million 10+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$15 +1.2% | 20 |
| 749d | BowlOfPunch | Tampon | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$55 +5.3% | 20 |
| 749d |  MrNFT | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,334 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 749d |  Axios | Illegal Alien | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$231 +12% | 20 |
| 749d |  Anon5215 | Illegal Alien | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,055 | −$1,055 −100% | 20 |
| 749d | Anon5215 | Illegal Alien | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | +$973 +49% | 20 |
| 749d | Axios3 fills | Hezbollah | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $9,606 | +$1,927 +20% | 20 |
| 749d |  Glover | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$24 +2.3% | 20 |
| 749d | Anon5215 | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,425 | +$75 +1.0% | 20 |
| 749d | Axios2 fills | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,157 | +$597 +12% | 20 |
| 749d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Illegal Alien | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,485 | +$1,485 +100% | — |
| 749d | georgejetson | Tampon | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,212 | +$331 +15% | 20 |
| 749d | Ch5 | Vance | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $6,292 | −$6,292 −100% | 29 |
| 749d |  RedBullZero | Trans | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 21 |
| 749d | georgejetson | Hezbollah | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,346 | −$1,346 −100% | 20 |
| 749d | Ch5 | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes24¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$3,852 +317% | 21 |
| 750d | DarkZuckerberg - 28387 | Tampon | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$175 +15% | 20 |
| 750d | averagejoe | Debate | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,820 | −$1,820 −100% | 20 |
| 750d | Kurtkabeyna | Kamala 40+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$46 +3.1% | 20 |
| 750d | EscalateFund2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,084 | +$126 +4.1% | 21 |
| 750d | RedScarce | Tax 10+ times | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,324 | −$1,324 −100% | 28 |
| 750d | upolio | Border 30+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,914 | +$408 +6.9% | 22 |
| 750d | rookiee | China 10+ times | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 30 |
| 750d | dinglepuff2 fills | Million 10+ times | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,690 | +$1,010 +38% | 27 |
| 750d | ShyLOCKz | Vance | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 29 |
| 750d |  mango-lassi | Trans | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | +$622 +39% | 27 |
| 751d |  mr.ozi | Obamacare/Affordable Care Act | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$601 +43% | 28 |
| 751d |  Mrmarket334 | MAGA 3+ times | SellNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,631 | +$1,631 +100% | — |
| 751d | Mrmarket334 | MAGA 3+ times | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | −$1,340 −100% | 25 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during a town hall event in North Carolina.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Vance means the market gives it about 0%.