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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| God 3+ times | 100% | +51 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | 100% | +44 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Job 15+ times | 100% | +41 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 3+ times | 100% | +53 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 0% | −76 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gender | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hamas | 100% | +39 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Panama Canal | 0% | −35 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pipeline | 100% | +45 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fentanyl | 0% | −56 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Beautiful | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| El Salvador | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Popular vote | 100% | +49 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Citizenship | 100% | +56 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greenland | 0% | −57 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve / Witkoff | 100% | +39 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Linda / McMahon | 0% | −53 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 563d |  TheWolfOfPoly | God 3+ times | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,474 | −$1,474 −100% | 20 |
| 563d |  Naichli | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyNo38¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$2,250 +165% | 21 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the Annual NRCC Dinner on April 8, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.nrccpresidentsdinner.com/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about the main speech Trump gives at the Annual NRCC scheduled for April 8, 2025 (for example, https://www.youtube.com/live/Z8-ycoMlo1c?si=TTMob5ioBkRSn1Ij&t=1923). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this main speech will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the speech has an attached Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for God 3+ times means the market gives it about 100%.