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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 15+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Job 15+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 8+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheated / Cheating 10+ times | 100% | — | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden / Obama 7+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sleepy Joe | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mental Institution | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ID / Identification | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| TSA | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Favored Nation | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Air Force / Space Force | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Too Big to Rig | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Beautiful Woman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No No No | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Egg | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SAVE Act / SAVE America Act | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Swing State | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Filibuster | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Make a Deal | 100% | — | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Common Sense | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve / Witkoff | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tom / Homan | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212d |  humblefarmerr | Israel / Israeli | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,024 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 212d |  PredictionYogi | No No No | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,095 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 212d | eooaaa | No No No | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,091 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 212d | 3333333333433 | Mental Institution | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,173 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 212d | 3333333333433 | Israel / Israeli | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,238 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 212d | PredictionYogi | SNAP / Food Stamp | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,022 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 212d | PredictionYogi | Beautiful Woman | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 212d | kuisi | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 212d | ShCharr | No No No | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 212d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | Favored Nation | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 212d |  Quarrelsome-Branch | Cheat / Cheater / Cheated / Cheating 10+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,231 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 212d | 2025-uuu | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | +$24 +2.0% | 20 |
| 212d | llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | Cheat / Cheater / Cheated / Cheating 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 212d | ShCharr | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | +$31 +2.4% | 20 |
| 212d |  AgricultureSecretary | Common Sense | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$14 +1.3% | 20 |
| 212d | ShCharr | Sleepy Joe | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
| 212d |  TheGreekTraderPM | Too Big to Rig | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,307 | −$1,307 −100% | 20 |
GodRama100 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Democrat 15+ times means the market gives it about 100%.