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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil 15+ times | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Invest / Investment | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Venezuela 7+ times | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maduro / Dictator | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill / Drilling | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia / Russian | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sanction | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gallon / Barrel | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Doug / Burgum | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Minnesota / ICE | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stolen / Steal | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Illegal | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 287d | yougotme | Sanction | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,247 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 287d | yougotme | Oil 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,449 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 287d |  noreasapa2 fills | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,831 | +$39 +1.0% | 20 |
Donald Trump is set to participate in a meeting with oil executives on Friday, January 9 (see: https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/trump-meet-oil-executives-about-venezuela-friday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 9, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the meeting with oil executives (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Oil 15+ times means the market gives it about 100%.