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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DOGE | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | +35 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 100% | +38 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Capital Gains | 0% | −41 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mexico | 0% | −57 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| TikTok | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Reserve | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stargate | 0% | −41 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russia | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drone | 100% | +74 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barron | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greenland | 0% | −51 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hegseth | 0% | −49 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Putin | 100% | +40 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Melania | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 638d |  AgricultureSecretary | Tariff | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$113 +11% | 20 |
| 638d | Worthy-Pulley | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,007 | −$1,007 −100% | 20 |
| 638d | poptree | Elon Musk | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | −$1,213 −100% | 20 |
| 639d | Geigk091 | TikTok | SellYes>99¢ | $1,904 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 639d | Geigk091 | Russia | SellYes>99¢ | $2,496 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 639d |  Dropper | Israel | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,947 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 639d | AgricultureSecretary | Israel | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,661 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 639d | Geigk091 | Russia | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,374 | +$125 +5.3% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during an Oval Office interview.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Israel means the market gives it about 100%.