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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alien 5+ times | 100% | +57 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border Czar | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 10+ times | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 3+ times | 100% | +67 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 25+ times | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala 3+ times | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jesus | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pavel Durov | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cemetery | 100% | +68 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Colorado | 100% | +56 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| France | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 0% | −47 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zuckerberg/Zuck | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hispanic | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 784d |  BlackSky1232 fills | Alien 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,825 | +$16 +0.3% | 20 |
| 784d | ssxeet | Alien 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,166 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 784d |  carp3 fills | Alien 5+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,573 | +$107 +1.4% | 20 |
| 784d |  Car | Alien 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,247 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 784d |  aenews22 fills | Alien 5+ times | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $6,917 | +$2,132 +31% | 28 |
| 784d |  seitn | MAGA 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,747 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 784d | lug | Fake News | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 784d | lug | Tampon | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 784d |  AgricultureSecretary | Border 25+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | +$16 +1.0% | 20 |
| 784d | professorx | Pavel Durov | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 784d | AgricultureSecretary | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 784d |  Dropper | Alien 5+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,081 | +$140 +4.5% | 20 |
| 784d | AgricultureSecretary | Alien 5+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,719 | +$27 +1.0% | 20 |
| 784d |  Anon5215 | Alien 5+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,236 | +$185 +8.3% | 20 |
| 784d | FalC0N | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,715 | +$96 +2.0% | 20 |
| 784d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Cemetery | SellYes100¢ | $1,493 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 784d | scoobydoobydoo | Border Czar | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,446 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 784d |  Slimedart | Border 25+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,583 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 784d | Anon5215 | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,903 | +$67 +3.5% | 20 |
| 784d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Cemetery | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$5,333 +213% | 23 |
| 784d | aenews2 | Pavel Durov | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,901 | +$99 +3.4% | 20 |
| 784d | professorx | Fake News | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,512 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 784d |  Axios | Colorado | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,191 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 784d | 😏😏😏 | Colorado | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | +$32 +2.0% | 20 |
| 784d | Axios | Colorado | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$22 +2.0% | 20 |
| 784d | scoobydoobydoo | Fake News | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 784d |  Wallonie4Congress | Fake News | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 784d | 😏😏😏 | Fake News | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 784d |  HaterzLoserz | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $9,065 | +$1,007 +11% | 20 |
| 784d | Anon5215 | Fake News | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,537 | +$191 +7.5% | 20 |
| 784d | 😏😏😏 | Fake News | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | +$210 +7.5% | 20 |
| 784d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | Drill Baby Drill | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $11,533 | +$2,036 +18% | 20 |
| 784d | HaterzLoserz4 fills | Fake News | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $31,753 | +$3,303 +10% | 20 |
| 784d | Gatito | Drill Baby Drill | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,125 | +$375 +18% | 20 |
| 784d | karbonbased | Tampon | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | +$415 +30% | 20 |
| 784d | lug | Border 25+ times | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$650 +35% | 20 |
| 784d | Breezy-Entrance | Drill Baby Drill | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $5,873 | +$878 +15% | 20 |
| 784d | lug | Drill Baby Drill | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$261 +15% | 20 |
| 784d | anon1565 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,095 | +$356 +8.7% | 20 |
| 784d | HaterzLoserz2 fills | Jesus | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $3,745 | −$3,745 −100% | 28 |
| 784d |  TheCoconut | MAGA 3+ times | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 20 |
| 784d | HaterzLoserz3 fills | Border Czar | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $22,934 | +$3,633 +16% | 20 |
| 784d | Ch5 | Tampon | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$701 +35% | 20 |
| 784d |  BuckMySalls | Tampon | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$390 +35% | 20 |
| 784d |  Wloczega | Alien 5+ times | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $3,142 | +$3,142 +100% | — |
| 784d | Slimedart2 fills | Border 25+ times | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,212 | +$1,087 +34% | 20 |
| 784d | unscented-nerd - 5386 | Border Czar | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $7,200 | +$800 +11% | 20 |
| 784d | HaterzLoserz | Border 10+ times | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $7,597 | −$1,549 −20% | — |
| 784d | bang77 | Alien 5+ times | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 784d | Wloczega | Alien 5+ times | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $2,554 | −$2,554 −100% | 20 |
| 784d | L114 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$670 +33% | 20 |
| 784d | L114 | Drill Baby Drill | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$223 +15% | 20 |
| 785d |  TheAmericanPsycho | Alien 5+ times | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,505 | −$1,505 −100% | 30 |
This is a market group about what Donald Trump will say during his scheduled rally in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, scheduled for Friday, August 30, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Alien 5+ times means the market gives it about 100%.