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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China 10+ times | 0% | −56 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FEMA | 0% | −63 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 0% | −83 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 100% | +95 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala 35+ times | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Missile defense shield | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Green new scam | 0% | −75 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drill baby drill | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Milton | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala 25+ times | 100% | +22 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hurricane | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax 20+ times | 0% | −82 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Too big to rig | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon 3+ times | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| God | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fracking 3+ times | 100% | +20 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 744d |  carp7 fills | China 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,027 | +$110 +0.3% | 20 |
| 744d | VvVv2 fills | China 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d |  pirateshere | China 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,372 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d |  AgricultureSecretary | China 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,550 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d |  Infringe2 fills | China 10+ times | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $7,029 | +$1,037 +15% | 20 |
| 744d |  MineGuyBonds | China 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,784 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 744d |  Parz1vaI | FEMA | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,904 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | FEMA | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Kamala 35+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | China 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 744d |  Leo-Messi | Tax 20+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | −$17 −0.9% | — |
| 744d | georgejetson | China 10+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,048 | −$48 −0.8% | — |
| 744d | pantomime | FEMA | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,437 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d | StudentMoney4 fills | Kamala 35+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,435 | +$72 +1.1% | 20 |
| 744d | Parz1vaI4 fills | China 10+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,394 | +$89 +1.4% | 20 |
| 744d |  neetbets | China 10+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,121 | +$64 +2.0% | 20 |
| 744d |  Secret14thKey4 fills | China 10+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $28,925 | +$1,873 +6.5% | 20 |
| 744d |  Mrmarket334 | Kamala 35+ times | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | −$59 −4.2% | — |
| 744d | Arkadik | Green new scam | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,545 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d | asxasd | China 10+ times | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,804 | −$148 −5.3% | — |
| 744d | Parz1vaI | China 10+ times | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$53 −5.3% | — |
| 744d | asxasd | China 10+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,562 | +$66 +2.6% | 20 |
| 744d |  mr.ozi | China 10+ times | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | −$61 −5.4% | — |
| 744d |  ANudeEgg | China 10+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,875 | +$125 +2.6% | 20 |
| 744d | mr.ozi2 fills | China 10+ times | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,087 | +$421 +10% | 20 |
| 744d | regarded-degen69 | Milton | SellNo100¢ | $1,280 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 744d | cryptobetman | China 10+ times | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,181 | −$242 −11% | — |
| 744d | 0xf5c4cf572be0826d8dd770d09e835149b204e86 | Hurricane | SellYes>99¢ | $1,088 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 744d |  TortugaGorda | Drill baby drill | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,623 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 744d | TortugaGorda | China 10+ times | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $1,601 | −$1,601 −100% | 20 |
| 744d | cryptobetman | China 10+ times | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,258 | +$421 +19% | 20 |
| 744d | nostracanis3 fills | China 10+ times | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 20 |
| 744d | WigglyWaffles | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d |  Anon5215 | Green new scam | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,814 | +$49 +1.0% | 20 |
| 744d | Ordon3 fills | China 10+ times | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $7,086 | −$7,086 −100% | 20 |
| 744d |  BustedCungly | China 10+ times | SellYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,638 | +$1,638 +100% | — |
| 744d |  Yk46-238 | Tax 20+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$97 +3.1% | 20 |
| 744d | VvVv | Hurricane | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,996 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d | pantomime | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$15 +1.1% | 20 |
| 744d |  Axios | Drill baby drill | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,783 | +$90 +5.0% | 20 |
| 744d | Axios4 fills | Tampon | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $11,791 | +$999 +8.5% | 20 |
| 744d | carp | Trans | SellYes>99¢ | $1,486 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 744d |  Wallonie4Congress | Tampon | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 744d | Wallonie4Congress | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,624 | −$187 −7.1% | — |
| 744d |  JanSobieski3 | Green new scam | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,625 | +$1,625 +100% | — |
| 744d | Kroll703 | Tampon | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,298 | −$1,298 −100% | 20 |
| 744d | JanSobieski3 | Drill baby drill | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,520 | −$480 −19% | — |
| 744d | Anon5215 | Elon 3+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | +$36 +2.7% | 20 |
| 744d | EVEquity | China 10+ times | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$783 +65% | 20 |
| 744d | Rainiak | Border 30+ times | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,521 | −$1,521 −100% | 21 |
| 744d | BowlOfPunch | Border 20+ times | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $5,747 | −$5,747 −100% | 20 |
| 744d |  altt4443 fills | FEMA | BuyNo29¢ → 100¢ | $7,650 | +$18,374 +240% | 28 |
| 744d | brrrrrrrrrrrr | Milton | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,878 | −$1,878 −100% | 20 |
| 744d | brrrrrrrrrrrr | Border 30+ times | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,647 | −$1,647 −100% | 22 |
| 744d | lug | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | +$44 +3.2% | 20 |
| 744d | Axios | Tampon | SellYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$1,950 −186% | — |
| 744d | 0xf5c4cf572be0826d8dd770d09e835149b204e86 | Hurricane | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$76 +7.5% | 20 |
| 744d | Kroll703 | Border 20+ times | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 20 |
| 744d | JanSobieski35 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $12,927 | +$8,814 +68% | 28 |
| 744d | mr.ozi | Missile defense shield | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,272 | −$640 −28% | — |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his rally in Pennsylvania.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China 10+ times means the market gives it about 0%.
