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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China 10+ times | 100% | +76 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +45 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon 3+ times | 100% | +16 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Melania | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hamas | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Starlink | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 3+ times | 0% | −70 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tren de Aragua | 100% | +20 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Frack/Fracking 3+ times | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gun 3+ times | 100% | +26 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dark MAGA | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +24 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60 minutes | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weave | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 734d |  XAE12Archangel | China 10+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $3,032 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 734d |  Dropper2 fills | China 10+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,632 | +$143 +3.9% | 20 |
| 734d | MandoCT | Dark MAGA | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 734d |  Stungray | China 10+ times | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$134 +9.7% | 20 |
| 734d | XAE12Archangel | China 10+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,467 | +$274 +11% | 20 |
| 734d |  Eridpnc | Elon 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $2,571 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 734d | Nastorius | Tren de Aragua | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,555 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 734d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG | China 10+ times | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 21 |
| 734d |  Milktoast | Border 30+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 734d | WigglyWaffles | China 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,024 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 |
| 734d |  Anon1792681 | China 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$14 +1.3% | 20 |
| 734d |  Axios4 fills | McDonald's | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,681 | +$109 +1.3% | 20 |
| 734d | Anon1792681 | McDonald's | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 20 |
| 734d |  palisade | McDonald's | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,044 | −$1,044 −100% | 20 |
| 734d | WigglyWaffles2 fills | Border 20+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,815 | +$245 +8.7% | 20 |
| 734d |  AgricultureSecretary | Border 20+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,706 | +$35 +2.0% | 20 |
| 734d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Border 20+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,721 | +$140 +5.1% | 20 |
| 734d | Rainiak | Border 20+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | +$104 +6.4% | 20 |
| 734d | Anon1792681 | Border 20+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,746 | +$254 +6.8% | 20 |
| 734d | palisade | Elon 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,546 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 734d | Ordon | Elon 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,554 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 734d | Nastorius | Elon 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,467 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 734d | dontshowmyname | Israel | SellYes>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 734d |  Scrubby22 | China 10+ times | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,580 | −$1,580 −100% | 20 |
| 734d |  BFBB | China 10+ times | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 20 |
| 734d |  MustacheBatman | Border 30+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,903 | +$121 +6.4% | 20 |
| 734d | Axios | Trans | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$89 +6.6% | 20 |
| 734d | Anon1792681 | Israel | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,630 | +$122 +7.5% | 20 |
| 734d | Rainiak | Border 30+ times | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$109 +9.9% | 20 |
| 734d | dotaa555 | MAGA 3+ times | BuyNo35¢ → 100¢ | $2,034 | +$3,819 +188% | 22 |
| 734d | dotaa555 | Border 20+ times | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $4,105 | −$4,105 −100% | 20 |
| 734d |  just.some.guy2 fills | MAGA 3+ times | SellYes65¢ → 0¢ | $2,947 | +$2,947 +100% | — |
| 734d | just.some.guy | Melania | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | −$302 −27% | — |
| 734d | BFBB | Border 30+ times | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | +$207 +15% | 20 |
| 734d | TrumpsStrongHand | Melania | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,014 | −$1,014 −100% | 20 |
| 734d |  BustedCungly | Trans | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +9.9% | 20 |
| 734d | PepeMcPew | Border 20+ times | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,646 | −$1,646 −100% | 20 |
| 734d | MandoCT | Dark MAGA | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$407 +40% | 20 |
| 734d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Trans | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$297 +9.9% | 20 |
| 735d | LASSS2 fills | Border 20+ times | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $6,160 | +$4,840 +79% | 30 |
| 735d |  qsalz | Weave | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | +$97 +6.4% | 22 |
| 735d |  JanSobieski3 | Trans | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$222 +11% | 23 |
| 735d | just.some.guy | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,079 | −$1,079 −100% | 27 |
| 735d |  mr.ozi | Trans | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,217 | +$238 +11% | 23 |
| 735d | mr.ozi | Border 30+ times | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | +$557 +39% | 28 |
| 735d | just.some.guy | Starlink | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | −$1,085 −100% | 28 |
| 736d | mr.ozi | Hamas | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$305 +22% | 23 |
| 736d | Wfhgg | China 10+ times | SellNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,392 | +$1,392 +100% | — |
| 736d | Wfhgg | China 10+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,416 | −$1,416 −100% | 25 |
| 736d | Wfhgg | China 10+ times | SellYes41¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$1,475 −144% | — |
| 736d | IGghjyh | China 10+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,475 | −$1,475 −100% | 25 |
| 736d | Qhgfjbf | China 10+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,121 | −$1,121 −100% | 25 |
| 736d | Qhgjgj | China 10+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 25 |
| 736d | Rgfhyu | China 10+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 25 |
| 736d | Wthnfd | China 10+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,245 | −$1,245 −100% | 25 |
| 736d | Tuhdw | China 10+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,357 | −$1,357 −100% | 25 |
| 736d | Tuhdw | China 10+ times | SellYes41¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$1,475 −144% | — |
| 736d | Aghg | China 10+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,475 | −$1,475 −100% | 25 |
| 736d | Afdvvh | China 10+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,239 | −$1,239 −100% | 25 |
| 736d | Sthjgfh | China 10+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 25 |
This is a market on predicting Trump's statements during his Pennsylvania rally.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China 10+ times means the market gives it about 100%.