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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax 20+ times | 0% | −63 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 0% | −81 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 4+ times | 100% | +62 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bullet 3+ times | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Starlink | 100% | +40 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million 10+ times | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala 30+ times | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon 5+ times | 100% | +36 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 0% | −71 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tesla | 100% | +35 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liquid Gold 2+ times | 100% | +38 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Miracle | 0% | −53 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Golf | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Secret Service | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Phone App | 0% | −78 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Disgrace 2+ times | 0% | −36 pts | 0 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Stone-cold 3+ times | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 748d |  aldynspeedruns | Border 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,322 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 748d |  AlastorOrion | China 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,135 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d |  Axios | China 10+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,077 | −$110 −1.0% | — |
| 748d |  donjo | China 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,790 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d | polyswiss2 fills | China 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,553 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 748d | StudentMoney4 fills | China 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,571 | +$54 +0.6% | 20 |
| 748d |  AgricultureSecretary | China 10+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,263 | +$70 +2.1% | 20 |
| 748d |  Dropper3 fills | China 10+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,016 | +$205 +3.4% | 20 |
| 748d | Ordon | China 10+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,828 | +$39 +2.1% | 20 |
| 748d | georgejetson | Kamala 30+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 748d |  Anon5215 | China 10+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$35 +2.2% | 20 |
| 748d |  Borgo | China 10+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$28 +2.1% | 20 |
| 748d |  Parz1vaI | Trans | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,316 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d | Axios3 fills | China 10+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $9,633 | +$881 +9.1% | 20 |
| 748d | smallbet6 | China 10+ times | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | +$117 +10.0% | 20 |
| 748d | polyswiss | Kamala 30+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,017 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 748d | jodiebrook | Tax 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,698 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d | gillerberry | Tax 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,263 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d | Lokosm | Kamala 30+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d | lol105 | Tax 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,176 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d | Ganby | Tax 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,754 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d | lol105 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,290 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d | aldynspeedruns | Bullet 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,372 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d |  Mrmarket334 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$35 +2.2% | 20 |
| 748d | Axios | Trans | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$82 +6.4% | 20 |
| 748d | nostracanis4 fills | Trans | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $5,400 | −$5,400 −100% | 20 |
| 748d | nostracanis | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$119 +9.9% | 20 |
| 748d | Axios2 fills | Tesla | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,096 | +$121 +2.4% | 20 |
| 748d | scoobydoobydoo | Tesla | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,805 | +$195 +6.9% | 20 |
| 748d | Axios3 fills | Liquid Gold 2+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,695 | +$256 +3.3% | 20 |
| 748d | Axios | Million 10+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,004 | +$116 +5.8% | 20 |
| 748d | Mrmarket334 | Border 30+ times | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | −$85 −6.4% | — |
| 748d | nostracanis | Liquid Gold 2+ times | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 20 |
| 748d | mvp99 | Border 20+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,068 | +$77 +3.7% | 20 |
| 748d | Axios | Starlink | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | +$366 +24% | 20 |
| 748d | georgejetson | Secret Service | SellYes>99¢ | $1,646 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 748d | Axios | God 4+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | +$159 +8.7% | 20 |
| 748d |  Glover | Secret Service | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$50 +4.6% | 20 |
| 748d | Ch5 | Trans | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,197 | −$1,197 −100% | 21 |
| 748d | Ch53 fills | McDonald's | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $11,097 | +$13,150 +118% | 22 |
| 748d | Ch5 | Border 20+ times | BuyNo29¢ → 100¢ | $2,010 | +$5,024 +250% | 23 |
| 748d | Ch5 | Million 10+ times | BuyNo19¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 21 |
| 748d | nostracanis2 fills | Bullet 3+ times | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $7,472 | +$3,303 +44% | 20 |
| 748d | Mrmarket334 | Golf | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | −$413 −37% | — |
| 748d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Liquid Gold 2+ times | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $2,539 | −$2,539 −100% | 21 |
| 748d | Kroll703 | Border 30+ times | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,671 | +$716 +43% | 20 |
| 749d | georgejetson | Secret Service | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$69 +6.4% | 20 |
| 749d | Ch5 | Starlink | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $7,634 | +$2,558 +34% | 20 |
| 749d |  McDonalds-Employee | Miracle | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $4,249 | −$4,249 −100% | 20 |
| 749d |  TortugaGorda | Tax 20+ times | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $2,968 | +$3,627 +122% | 21 |
| 749d | georgejetson | Kamala 30+ times | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,667 | +$1,313 +49% | 20 |
| 749d |  JanSobieski32 fills | God 4+ times | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $3,850 | −$3,850 −100% | 20 |
| 749d | BowlOfPunch | Disgrace 2+ times | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | +$889 +59% | 20 |
| 749d | dinglepuff | Bullet 3+ times | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $3,116 | +$1,995 +64% | 20 |
| 749d | aldynspeedruns | God 4+ times | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $2,733 | +$3,933 +144% | 22 |
| 749d | anon1565 | God 4+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $3,558 | −$3,558 −100% | 20 |
| 749d | Kroll7032 fills | Elon 5+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,015 | +$1,005 +33% | 20 |
| 749d | McDonalds-Employee | Elon 5+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,027 | +$1,010 +33% | 28 |
| 749d | EscalateFund3 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $20,525 | +$792 +3.9% | 21 |
| 749d | JanSobieski3 | Million 10+ times | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$735 +19% | 24 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during a rally event in Butler, Pennsylvania on October 5, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.