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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million 10+times | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 25+ times | 100% | +38 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala 3+ times | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 15+ times | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 100% | +55 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Credit Card | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Haitian | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA 4+ times | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sex Change | 100% | +24 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hezbollah | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| RFK | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Terrorist | 100% | +16 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mark Robinson | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 760d |  Slimedart | Trans | SellYes>99¢ | $2,508 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 760d |  EdgyUsername | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,126 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 760d |  Anon52155 fills | Million 10+times | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,534 | +$27 +0.2% | 20 |
| 760d |  MrNFT | Million 10+times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,934 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 760d | FlowMo | Million 10+times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,351 | −$68 −1.3% | — |
| 760d | brrrrrrrrrrrr | Million 10+times | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | −$60 −2.0% | — |
| 760d |  Dropper2 fills | Million 10+times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,465 | +$236 +3.2% | 20 |
| 760d |  7153649820 | Million 10+times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,745 | +$39 +2.2% | 20 |
| 760d |  syncope2 fills | Million 10+times | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $4,886 | +$2,688 +55% | 20 |
| 760d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito3 fills | Million 10+times | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $14,515 | +$2,012 +14% | 20 |
| 760d | Slimedart3 fills | Million 10+times | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $5,444 | −$5,444 −100% | 20 |
| 760d |  TortugaGorda | Credit Card | SellYes>99¢ | $1,702 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 760d | Lucky31 | Million 10+times | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $1,825 | −$1,825 −100% | 20 |
| 760d |  BlackSky123 | RFK | SellNo100¢ | $2,215 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 760d |  Bergerboi | Million 10+times | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,192 | −$1,192 −100% | 20 |
| 760d | BlackSky123 | Million 10+times | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,003 | −$1,003 −100% | 20 |
| 760d |  carp | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,961 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 760d | crckr | Trans | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,137 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 760d |  TimeQuestion | McDonald's | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,618 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 760d | polipleb | McDonald's | SellYes>99¢ | $4,480 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 760d |  09432 fills | Trans | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $4,916 | −$4,916 −100% | 26 |
| 760d | Rainiak | Trans | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$566 −51% | — |
| 760d | 0x84 | Trans | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 760d | Rainiak | Trans | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,377 | +$835 +35% | 20 |
| 760d | DaKakuna | Sex Change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$31 +2.0% | 20 |
| 760d |  Axios | Sex Change | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$161 +5.4% | 20 |
| 760d | Nser2 fills | Border 15+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,523 | −$35 −1.0% | — |
| 760d |  Mrmarket334 | Trans | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 23 |
| 760d | DapperChapper2 fills | Border 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,974 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 760d | Anon5215 | Border 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,113 | +$28 +0.2% | 20 |
| 760d |  AgricultureSecretary | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,158 | +$32 +1.0% | 20 |
| 760d | DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | Trans | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $6,721 | +$1,196 +18% | 24 |
| 760d | Axios | McDonald's | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $2,115 | +$3,062 +145% | 21 |
| 760d | VvVv | Border 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 760d | syncope2 fills | Border 25+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,951 | +$38 +0.6% | 20 |
| 760d | RealAnd | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 760d | ssxeet | Border 25+ times | BuyYes100¢ | $5,368 | +$27 +0.5% | 20 |
| 760d | SteezyD123 | McDonald's | SellNo95¢ → 0¢ | $3,707 | +$3,707 +100% | — |
| 760d | RealAnd | Border 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,406 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 760d | 0x84 | Border 25+ times | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,159 | −$204 −6.5% | — |
| 760d | AgricultureSecretary | Border 25+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,282 | +$23 +1.0% | 20 |
| 760d | carp | Border 25+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,039 | +$61 +1.5% | 20 |
| 760d | aras | Border 25+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,718 | +$27 +1.6% | 20 |
| 760d | Flowery-Self | Border 25+ times | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | −$44 −2.0% | — |
| 760d | Xav | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$151 +8.7% | 20 |
| 760d |  Pidor🐓 | Border 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,088 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 760d | Mrmarket334 | Border 25+ times | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,172 | −$604 −19% | — |
| 760d |  JanSobieski32 fills | Credit Card | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,283 | −$467 −20% | — |
| 760d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Border 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,424 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 760d | Nser2 fills | Border 15+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,534 | +$23 +0.7% | 20 |
| 760d | DapperChapper | Border 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,552 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 760d | MandoCT | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $4,253 | −$1,266 −30% | — |
| 760d | moonnft | Border 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,574 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 760d | RealAnd | Border 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,406 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 760d | anon1565 | Border 25+ times | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$408 +37% | 20 |
| 760d | Mrmarket334 | Terrorist | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,218 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 760d | EscalateFund3 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,901 | +$315 +4.0% | 21 |
| 760d | lawfultots | Terrorist | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | −$182 −16% | — |
| 760d | lawfultots | Million 10+times | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | −$135 −9.9% | — |
| 760d | JanSobieski32 fills | Trans | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $5,611 | −$731 −13% | — |
This is a market on predicting what Donald Trump will say during his rally in Indiana.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Million 10+times means the market gives it about 100%.