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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hell 3+ times | 100% | +88 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beautiful 3+ times | 100% | +41 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Heritage | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 5+ times | 0% | −56 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden | 0% | −63 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ireland 10+ times | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 2+ times | 100% | +86 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Saint Patrick | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ukraine 5+ times | 0% | −48 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zelenskyy | 0% | −58 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jew / Jewish 3+ times | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NATO 3+ times | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax 5+ times | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Letter | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 590d |  Bertapotamous | Tariff 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,610 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 590d |  aenews2 | Hell 3+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,733 | +$85 +3.1% | 20 |
| 590d |  Dropper | Hell 3+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$37 +3.1% | 20 |
| 590d |  Euan | Hell 3+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 20 |
| 590d |  533225dhf | Heritage | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 590d | Euan | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,538 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 591d | Up-Down | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,905 | +$100 +5.3% | 21 |
| 591d |  dududududu2 fills | Beautiful 3+ times | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $2,416 | +$1,912 +79% | 28 |
| 592d | 828 | Beautiful 3+ times | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $1,151 | −$1,151 −100% | 28 |
| 592d | 828 | Ireland 10+ times | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,663 | +$785 +47% | 28 |
| 592d |  mr.ozi | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$88 +7.8% | 21 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with Micheál Martin, the Prime Minister of Ireland, on March 12, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled press conference with Zelenskyy. Preceding bilateral meetings will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the press conference contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the press conference.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Hell 3+ times means the market gives it about 100%.