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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birth / Birthday | 0% | −77 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Recruitment / Recruit / Recruiting | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| God 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Secretary of War | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ISIS | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 4+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hawk / Dog | 100% | −75 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Joe / Biden 3+ times | 100% | −31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fort Liberty | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Blood | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| World War II | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Star | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Election | 100% | −27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peace Through Strength | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Space Force | 100% | −55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Medal | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Guard | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Absolute Resolve / Midnight Hammer | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maduro | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Obliterated / Obliteration | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 252d | 10KWarrior | 250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 252d | 250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,325 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 252d | Trustinghorse3 fills | God 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,317 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 252d | Secretary of War | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,414 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 252d | Trustinghorse | Hell 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,552 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 252d | Trustinghorse | Birth / Birthday | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,031 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 252d | Trustinghorse | Secretary of War | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,139 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 252d | Trustinghorse | ISIS | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 252d | Trustinghorse | Hawk / Dog | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 252d | Trustinghorse | World War II | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,156 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 252d | World War II | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,156 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 252d | Trustinghorse | Election | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,024 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 252d | Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,189 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 252d | Trustinghorse | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 253d | ISIS | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,546 | +$356 +4.2% | 20 |
Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks at Fort Bragg on February 13, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President delivers remarks to Fort Bragg Military Families" on February 13, 2026, at 1:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Birth / Birthday means the market gives it about 0%.