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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palestine | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peace 20+ times | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Beautiful 5+ times | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Accord | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Qatar | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran / Israel / Gaza 7+ times | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Eight Wars / Eight Peace Deals | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cambodia | 100% | +75 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bibi | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Obliteration / Obliterated | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kushner | 100% | +47 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Killing / Execution | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Putin / Zelenskyy | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peace in the Middle East | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Historic | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Second Phase / Phase Two | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275d | Palace8709 | Peace 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $3,185 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 275d | ForFamily | Qatar | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,378 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 275d | Each-Bench2 fills | Bibi | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,377 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 275d | Each-Bench2 fills | Peace 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,512 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 275d | Each-Bench | Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,159 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 275d | Each-Bench2 fills | Hottest | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,341 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 275d | Each-Bench2 fills | Iran / Israel / Gaza 7+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,059 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 275d | Each-Bench | Palestine | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,769 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 275d | Each-Bench | Obliteration / Obliterated | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,076 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 275d | Each-Bench2 fills | Eight Wars / Eight Peace Deals | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,264 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 275d | Palace8709 | Peace 20+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,527 | +$27 +1.1% | 20 |
| 275d |  SweetHoney | Kushner | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 275d | ForFamily | Eight Wars / Eight Peace Deals | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,139 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 275d |  BipBop | Cambodia | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in the Board of Peace Charter Announcement [10:30 AM Local]" on January 22, 2026, 4:30AM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President participates in the Board of Peace Charter Announcement [10:30 AM Local]" on January 22, 2026, 4:30AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Palestine means the market gives it about 0%.