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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drug / Gang 7+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maduro | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan / South Korea | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| N Word | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ship / Boat 7+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Eight wars | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Venezuela | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Operation / Spear | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Any questions | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| F-35 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Submarine | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Hottest | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mental institution | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Coast Guard / Cutter | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peace in the Middle East | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305d |  Do-Not-Redeem | Eight wars | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 305d | Do-Not-Redeem | Drug / Gang 7+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 305d |  noreasapa | Drug / Gang 7+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 305d | Thankful-Lookout | Drug / Gang 7+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$21 +2.0% | 20 |
| 305d |  WarriorPooh | F-35 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 305d | WarriorPooh | F-35 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$50 +4.9% | 20 |
| 305d | Do-Not-Redeem | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,975 | +$40 +1.0% | 20 |
krabich20 sharesDonald Trump is set to make an announcement with the Secretary of War and the Secretary of the Navy on December 22, 2025 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CWLvh8PG9oAtoHGziH8kx). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled announcement on December 22, 2025 at 4:30PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for AI / Artificial Intelligence means the market gives it about 100%.