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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border 15+ times | 100% | +50 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hispanic 3+ times | 100% | +26 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 100% | +41 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tren de Aragua | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abortion | 0% | −70 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +72 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 25+ times | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Latino/Latina | 0% | −61 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Reagan | 100% | +72 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aurora | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million 10+ times | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala 20+ times | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA 3+ times | 0% | −47 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JD Vance | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NAFTA | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taco | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hispanics Love Me | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 737d | polipleb | Trans | SellYes>99¢ | $3,197 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 737d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo100¢ | $7,530 | +$38 +0.5% | 20 |
| 737d |  Milktoast | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,619 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 737d |  Anon1792681 | Border 15+ times | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,720 | +$280 +7.5% | 20 |
| 737d | poptree | Border 15+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,409 | +$591 +13% | 20 |
| 737d | Joe111-159 | Hispanic 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 737d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Hispanic 3+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,176 | +$152 +4.8% | 20 |
| 737d |  Lisbon333 | Hispanic 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | +$17 +1.3% | 20 |
| 737d | Wvfhg | Border 15+ times | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,539 | −$1,539 −100% | 20 |
| 737d | ZFGHNFVG | Border 15+ times | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,620 | −$1,620 −100% | 20 |
| 737d | Qfghgf | Border 15+ times | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,573 | −$1,573 −100% | 20 |
| 737d | BVJHGFG | Border 15+ times | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,615 | −$1,615 −100% | 20 |
| 737d | EscalateFund2 fills | Hispanic 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,648 | +$107 +1.4% | 20 |
| 737d |  ANudeEgg | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$100 +3.8% | 20 |
| 737d | ANudeEgg | Abortion | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,042 | −$1,042 −100% | 20 |
| 737d |  Secret14thKey | Border 25+ times | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,314 | +$444 +19% | 20 |
| 737d |  mr.ozi | Abortion | BuyYes86¢ → 0¢ | $1,283 | −$1,283 −100% | 20 |
| 737d | mr.ozi | Reagan | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,899 | +$101 +5.3% | 20 |
| 737d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Hispanics Love Me | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$165 +12% | 20 |
| 737d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Taco | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$79 +7.6% | 20 |
| 738d | EVEquity | MAGA 3+ times | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,032 +52% | 20 |
| 738d |  MOUYtyi | Border 15+ times | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,015 | −$1,015 −100% | 20 |
| 738d |  MOUSYT | Border 15+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,179 | −$1,179 −100% | 30 |
| 738d |  USTRCG | Border 15+ times | SellNo56¢ → 0¢ | $1,319 | +$1,319 +100% | — |
| 738d | USTRCG | Border 15+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,390 | −$1,390 −100% | 30 |
| 738d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | JD Vance | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$304 +23% | 26 |
| 738d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment2 fills | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,830 | +$555 +11% | 23 |
| 738d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Reagan | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 27 |
| 738d |  MUYTs | Border 15+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 30 |
| 738d | QRTGFD | Tren de Aragua | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$748 +52% | 30 |
| 738d | Qyiyui | Tren de Aragua | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$704 +47% | 30 |
| 738d | DFGDR | Tren de Aragua | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | +$456 +32% | 28 |
| 738d | GHJGF-280 | Tren de Aragua | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$480 +32% | 28 |
| 738d |  tsybka | Trans | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,079 | −$1,079 −100% | 28 |
| 738d | Xslwo | Million 10+ times | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | −$757 −67% | — |
| 738d | Xslwo | Million 10+ times | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | +$530 +39% | 27 |
| 738d | FHGTHG | Tren de Aragua | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$920 +67% | 28 |
| 738d | NHNGFNH | Tren de Aragua | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$800 +67% | 28 |
| 738d | Mkslws | Border 15+ times | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | −$759 −61% | — |
| 738d | Mkslws | Border 15+ times | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | +$719 +56% | 28 |
| 738d | DLowl | Aurora | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$921 +79% | 28 |
Donald Trump has scheduled a town hall hosted by Univision on October 16 (see: https://x.com/UniNoticias/status/1845238102874276011). This is a market group over which terms Trump will mention during that event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Border 15+ times means the market gives it about 100%.