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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan 20+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hitler | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wall Street | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gun 5+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Garbage | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump Reciprocal Trade Act | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| God 5+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mike Rogers | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gamble | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Petrified | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lisa McClain | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Melania | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Trans | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721d | VvVv | Michigan 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,801 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d | Qtyu | Michigan 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,214 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 721d |  Car | Michigan 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,634 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 721d |  exit-liqudity2 fills | Michigan 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,377 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 721d |  mr.ozi | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,930 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 721d |  Eridpnc | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,993 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 721d |  noreasapa2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,344 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,214 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d |  Axios6 fills | Gun 5+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,056 | +$186 +1.7% | 20 |
| 721d | Ordon | Gun 5+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 721d | LlamaEnjoyer | Hitler | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,321 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d | LlamaEnjoyer | Pocahontas | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,111 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d | Axios | Trump Reciprocal Trade Act | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$100 +6.4% | 20 |
| 721d | exit-liqudity | Pocahontas | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d | Axios3 fills | Shanghai | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$62 +1.0% | 20 |
| 721d |  Anon1792681 | Shanghai | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | +$60 +1.0% | 20 |
| 721d | exit-liqudity | Garbage | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,128 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d | Axios | Wall Street | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$76 +7.1% | 20 |
| 721d | Axios | Garbage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,575 | +$22 +1.4% | 20 |
| 721d | Axios | Pocahontas | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | +$104 +5.4% | 20 |
| 721d |  JPow823747392 | Trump Reciprocal Trade Act | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$456 +43% | 20 |
| 721d | aLaT | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | −$32 −2.6% | — |
| 721d | aLaT | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | +$40 +3.2% | 20 |
| 721d |  Infringe | Michigan 20+ times | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,277 | +$402 +18% | 20 |
| 721d |  qsalz | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | +$18 +1.5% | 20 |
aldynspeedruns2,064 shares
Dill-pickle680 sharesThis is a market group over which terms Donald Trump will use during his rally in Warren, Michigan scheduled for November 1, 2024, 4:30 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Michigan 20+ times means the market gives it about 0%.