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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| God 4+ times | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weave | 100% | +70 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hell 10+ times | 100% | +35 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gun 5+ times | 100% | +63 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 0% | −77 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 0% | −94 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Teamster | 0% | −81 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Women's Sports | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | 0% | −35 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wisconsin 20+ times | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Missile Defense Shield | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax 20+ times | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cognitively Impaired | 100% | +76 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Teleprompter 3+ times | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Unrealized | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tammy Baldwin | 0% | −62 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718d | TimBalz | God 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,060 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | God 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,084 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d |  scout3 fills | God 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,385 | +$29 +0.2% | 20 |
| 720d | MarioMangione | God 4+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 720d |  Mr-Yolos2 fills | God 4+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $30,621 | −$240 −0.8% | — |
| 720d |  exit-liqudity | God 4+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,077 | −$24 −0.8% | — |
| 720d | userxya | God 4+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,048 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 720d |  Infringe2 fills | God 4+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,438 | −$30 −0.7% | — |
| 720d |  Car2 fills | God 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,029 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 720d | ssxeet | God 4+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,831 | −$30 −0.8% | — |
| 720d |  Pidor🐓 | God 4+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,742 | −$22 −0.8% | — |
| 720d | EscalateFund | God 4+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 720d | chambers | God 4+ times | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | −$25 −1.6% | — |
| 720d | Pidor🐓 | God 4+ times | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | +$102 +5.4% | 20 |
| 721d |  ryunose | God 4+ times | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,119 | −$1,119 −100% | 21 |
| 721d |  Anjun | Border 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,636 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d | exit-liqudity | God 4+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,918 | +$82 +4.3% | 20 |
| 721d | MageGold | Gun 5+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,162 | −$17 −0.8% | — |
| 721d | userxya | God 4+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,864 | +$99 +2.0% | 20 |
| 721d | Mr-Yolos3 fills | God 4+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $15,507 | +$1,041 +6.7% | 20 |
| 721d | longtern | Border 30+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,310 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 721d | Anjun | Border 30+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,658 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d |  Anon1792681 | God 4+ times | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | −$59 −5.3% | — |
| 721d |  LucyCross | God 4+ times | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,658 | +$200 +7.5% | 20 |
| 721d | hi4m | Tax 20+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 721d | Infringe | God 4+ times | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,758 | +$562 +20% | 20 |
| 721d |  Yk46-2382 fills | God 4+ times | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $12,152 | +$2,269 +19% | 20 |
| 721d | Tonyy10 | Border 30+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 721d |  Milktoast | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,154 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d |  JPow823747392 | God 4+ times | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $1,454 | −$1,454 −100% | 20 |
| 721d |  AgricultureSecretary | Wisconsin 20+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,797 | +$37 +2.0% | 20 |
| 721d |  Axios | God 4+ times | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,122 | +$433 +7.1% | 20 |
| 721d | Axios4 fills | Gun 5+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$245 +2.4% | 20 |
| 721d | AgricultureSecretary | Elon | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$66 +5.4% | 20 |
| 721d | Skypeg | Border 20+ times | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | −$129 −11% | — |
| 721d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Weave | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,568 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Weave | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,484 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d | exit-liqudity | Weave | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,928 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d | Axios18 fills | Weave | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $43,181 | +$1,136 +2.6% | 20 |
| 721d | Ordon2 fills | Weave | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 721d | Loldjebe | Border 30+ times | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$52 +4.8% | 20 |
| 721d | Anon1792681 | Cognitively Impaired | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | +$62 +3.1% | 20 |
| 721d | Axios | Cognitively Impaired | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$844 +34% | 20 |
| 721d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Hell 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,878 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d | AgricultureSecretary | Hell 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | +$16 +1.0% | 20 |
| 721d | Mr-Yolos2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,023 | +$122 +2.4% | 21 |
| 721d | Mr-Yolos | Tampon | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | +$53 +4.3% | 20 |
| 721d |  Wallonie4Congress | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | +$36 +2.6% | 20 |
| 721d |  romanroy | Wisconsin 20+ times | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,730 | +$214 +12% | 20 |
| 721d | lug2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,660 | +$86 +3.2% | 20 |
| 721d |  JanSobieski3 | McDonald's | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$160 +8.7% | 20 |
| 721d |  Skankhunt42.2 fills | Weave | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $2,482 | −$2,482 −100% | 30 |
| 721d | JanSobieski3 | Pocahontas | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,636 | +$162 +9.9% | 20 |
| 721d | rumtumtugger | Pocahontas | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$114 +11% | 20 |
| 721d |  Asherwow | Border 30+ times | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,573 | +$618 +11% | 20 |
| 721d |  xoxoxololxo | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,382 | +$87 +2.6% | 20 |
| 721d |  syncope | Hell 10+ times | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$395 +30% | 20 |
| 722d | nadin | Teamster | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 20 |
| 722d |  Mrmarket334 | Teamster | SellYes79¢ → 0¢ | $1,214 | +$1,214 +100% | — |
| 722d | Muromec | Elon | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 21 |
This is a market on predicting terms used by Trump during his rally in Milwaukee, Wisconsin scheduled for November 1, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for God 4+ times means the market gives it about 0%.