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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border 30+ times | 100% | +49 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 0% | −90 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala 3+ times | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 15+ times | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| World War 3 | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million 15+ times | 0% | −69 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax Queen | 0% | −89 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tip 3+ times | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Black Jobs | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 0% | −78 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zelensky | 0% | −84 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 100% | +22 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Congo | 100% | +21 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| AI | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −83 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Missile Shield | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Putin 2+ times | 0% | −69 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Palestinian | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aurora | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| President Xi 3+ times | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 755d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Million 15+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,676 | +$27 +1.0% | 20 |
| 755d | dccronin2 | Trans | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,478 | −$23 −0.9% | — |
| 755d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Trans | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,027 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 755d | aras | Border 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,300 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 755d |  Anon5215 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,059 | +$369 +1.3% | 20 |
| 755d |  Milktoast2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,758 | +$59 +2.1% | 20 |
| 755d | Anon5215 | Tax Queen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,465 | +$35 +1.0% | 20 |
| 755d |  Axios | Trans | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$491 +44% | 20 |
| 755d |  Dropper | Zelensky | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$168 +14% | 20 |
| 755d | Dropper | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,014 | +$62 +2.0% | 20 |
| 755d |  MrNFT | World War 3 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,307 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 755d |  Wallonie4Congress | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$25 +2.2% | 20 |
| 755d | Gatito | World War 3 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,836 | −$39 −1.0% | — |
| 755d | Kokochanell | McDonald's | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,136 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 755d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Black Jobs | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,926 | +$697 +6.4% | 20 |
| 755d | Axios | McDonald's | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$57 +1.9% | 20 |
| 755d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | +$772 +43% | 20 |
| 755d | aras | Border 15+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$52 +4.2% | 20 |
| 755d |  MeNoDatNutReelMuni | China 10+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,601 | −$1,601 −100% | 20 |
| 755d |  JPow823747392 | Border 30+ times | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,927 | +$583 +30% | 20 |
| 755d | rom7eo2 fills | Border 15+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,966 | +$124 +3.1% | 20 |
| 755d | Ch5 | Tip 3+ times | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $4,661 | +$1,904 +41% | 20 |
| 755d | rom7eo | Border 30+ times | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$760 +61% | 20 |
| 755d |  0943 | Tip 3+ times | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $6,871 | +$3,384 +49% | 20 |
| 755d | Bedsheets34 | Million 15+ times | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | +$1,111 +100% | — |
| 755d | Sanity | Border 30+ times | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | +$752 +65% | 20 |
| 755d | Sanity | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,043 | −$1,043 −100% | 20 |
| 755d | Sanity | AI | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,010 | −$1,010 −100% | 20 |
| 755d | Bedsheets34 | Million 15+ times | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,143 | −$1,143 −100% | 20 |
| 755d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Border 15+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,551 | +$418 +6.4% | 20 |
| 755d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Border 30+ times | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,985 | +$1,636 +82% | 20 |
| 755d |  JanSobieski3 | Million 15+ times | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,809 | +$1,809 +100% | — |
| 755d | JanSobieski3 | Congo | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $3,080 | +$920 +30% | 28 |
| 755d | JanSobieski3 | China 10+ times | SellYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | — |
| 756d |  BuckMySalls | McDonald's | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,794 | +$1,222 +68% | 30 |
| 756d | dccronin2 | President Xi 3+ times | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$404 +40% | 28 |
| 756d | EscalateFund2 fills | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $6,962 | +$3,211 +46% | 28 |
| 756d |  Slimedart | Million 15+ times | BuyNo43¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,698 +135% | 29 |
| 756d |  mr.ozi | Palestinian | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$87 +6.4% | 22 |
| 756d | EscalateFund | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,819 | +$76 +4.2% | 21 |
| 756d | BuckMySalls | Elon Musk | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $1,334 | −$1,334 −100% | 25 |
| 756d | JanSobieski3 | China 10+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $2,086 | −$2,086 −100% | 27 |
| 756d | mr.ozi | World War 3 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$208 +19% | 23 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his speech scheduled for Prairie du Chien, Wisconsin, on September 28, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Border 30+ times means the market gives it about 100%.