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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debate | 0% | −78 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 0% | −85 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −57 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Million 10+ times | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Helene | 100% | +40 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tips | 100% | +16 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| World War 3 | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 7+ times | 100% | +30 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Zelensky | 100% | +54 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran | 100% | +21 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax Queen | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mentally Impaired | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Walz | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +24 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Disabled | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 752d | cam999999999 | AI | SellNo>99¢ | $1,241 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 752d |  scout | Debate | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 752d | BennyS | Debate | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,107 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 752d |  ANudeEgg6 fills | Debate | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $15,944 | +$590 +3.7% | 20 |
| 752d | nostradamus77 | Debate | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,317 | +$55 +1.0% | 20 |
| 752d | georgejetson | Debate | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,265 | −$43 −1.0% | — |
| 752d |  fhantombets | Debate | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 752d | Pumpkin | Debate | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | −$41 −3.7% | — |
| 752d | nostradamus77 | Debate | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,268 | −$274 −6.4% | — |
| 752d |  Secret14thKey4 fills | Debate | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,993 | +$406 +3.4% | 20 |
| 752d | DaKakuna | Debate | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | +$67 +4.7% | 20 |
| 752d | polipleb | Debate | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | −$58 −5.2% | — |
| 752d |  Borgo | Debate | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,418 | −$95 −6.7% | — |
| 752d | ZeriQ | Million 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,924 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 752d |  Anon52152 fills | Debate | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $2,538 | −$2,538 −100% | 20 |
| 752d | Unwitting-Hockey | Debate | BuyNo32¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$2,197 +214% | 20 |
| 752d |  MLBksRETARD | Tips | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,778 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 752d | MLBksRETARD | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,114 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 752d |  Milktoast | Border 20+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$13 +1.1% | 20 |
| 752d | EscalateFund | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,959 | +$41 +2.1% | 20 |
| 752d | scoobydoobydoo | Tips | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | +$24 +1.1% | 20 |
| 752d |  rewrewrewr | Border 20+ times | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$316 +19% | 20 |
| 752d | nostracanis2 fills | Trans | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $4,700 | −$4,700 −100% | 20 |
| 752d |  realAFC | Iran | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,193 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 752d |  Apsalar | Border 20+ times | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,385 | −$2,385 −100% | 20 |
| 752d | HsB34sgg | Helene | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 752d |  AlastorOrion | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$32 +3.1% | 20 |
| 753d | brrrrrrrrrrrr | Tampon | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,604 | −$1,604 −100% | 32 |
| 753d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Trans | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$510 +27% | 26 |
| 753d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Debate | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $3,956 | −$3,956 −100% | 25 |
This is a market on predicting the content and themes of Trump's speech in Wisconsin.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Debate means the market gives it about 0%.