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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA | 100% | +20 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Monkey Pox | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon | 0% | −68 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God | 0% | −70 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Deport | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| IQ | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gaetz | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 3+ times | 100% | +76 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax 5+ times | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Venezuela | 100% | +87 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Recess Appointment | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 687d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Monkey Pox | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,055 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 687d | VvVv | MAGA | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,913 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 687d | rpo | MAGA | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,792 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 687d |  Axios2 fills | Monkey Pox | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,202 | +$171 +2.8% | 20 |
| 687d | Axios | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,477 | +$166 +11% | 20 |
| 687d | Axios | IQ | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$94 +6.1% | 20 |
| 687d | Axios | Trans | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | +$280 +18% | 20 |
| 687d | Axios | MAGA | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | +$228 +18% | 20 |
| 691d |  ARudeEgg | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,055 | −$854 −17% | — |
| 691d | EscalateFund | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,274 | +$352 +15% | 20 |
This is a market group over what terms Donald Trump will use in his next speech, starting on November 18, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.