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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dancing in the Street | 39% | — | +4 pts | 5¢ · 73¢ (68¢) | — | in 7d |
| Neurotic | 48% | — | −10 pts | 10¢ · 86¢ (76¢) | — | in 7d |
| Weave | 47% | −3 pts | −13 pts | 10¢ · 83¢ (73¢) | — | in 7d |
| Illness | 49% | −4 pts | −6 pts | 7¢ · 90¢ (83¢) | — | in 7d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 39¢ for Dancing in the Street means the market gives it about 39%.