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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Card | 0% | −14 pts | −57 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Transgender | 100% | +39 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Peanut | 0% | −5 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fentanyl | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Denmark | 0% | −5 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Third Term | 0% | −12 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 549d |  Dropper | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | +$100 +1.0% | 20 |
| 549d |  Axios | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,484 | +$71 +2.0% | 20 |
| 549d | Xylenor | Gold Card | SellNo64¢ → 100¢ | $28,948 | −$16,284 −56% | — |
| 549d | Xylenor | Gold Card | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $29,401 | +$15,832 +54% | 25 |
| 551d | Celthos | Gold Card | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $19,613 | −$12,539 −64% | — |
| 551d | Celthos | Gold Card | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $19,934 | +$12,218 +61% | 22 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 19, 00:00 AM ET and April 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Gold Card means the market gives it about 0%.