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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big beautiful deal | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Newscum | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 0% | −15 pts | −71 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mossad | 0% | −10 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Boeing | 0% | −9 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ass | 0% | −4 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Guard | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 492d |  imtiredb0ss | MAGA / Make America Great Again | SellYes>99¢ | $1,264 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 492d | LuckyPuncher2 fills | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,305 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 492d | imtiredb0ss | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | +$21 +1.0% | 20 |
| 492d |  Bertapotamous2 fills | Newscum | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,572 | +$15 +0.4% | 20 |
| 492d |  AgricultureSecretary | Newscum | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 492d |  Temmyr2 fills | Big beautiful deal | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,580 | −$24 −0.7% | — |
| 492d | Bertapotamous | Big beautiful deal | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,386 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 492d |  user-213094o | Big beautiful deal | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,802 | +$338 +7.0% | 21 |
| 492d | user-213094o | Newscum | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | +$75 +6.5% | 21 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between June 14, 12:00 AM ET and June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Big beautiful deal means the market gives it about 100%.