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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | 100% | −5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Through the roof | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cookie | 100% | +80 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Horrible thing | 100% | −7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Boom / Booming | 0% | −2 pts | −60 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Communist | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peanut | 0% | −4 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Satellite | 0% | −2 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 432d |  Bertapotamous | Satellite | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,504 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 432d | Bertapotamous | Boom / Booming | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,322 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 432d | Bertapotamous | Peanut | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,554 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 434d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe32 fills | Horrible thing | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,645 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 434d |  exit-liqudity | Horrible thing | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,013 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 436d | Bertapotamous | Cookie | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,435 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 436d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Communist | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,667 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 436d |  Ratspootin | Through the roof | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,498 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 436d |  user-213094o | Through the roof | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,387 | +$69 +2.0% | 20 |
| 436d |  FrancisSP8 | Through the roof | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,407 | +$70 +2.0% | 20 |
| 436d |  Axios3 fills | Cookie | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,252 | +$208 +6.4% | 20 |
| 438d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,672 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 438d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,184 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 438d |  SPIT | Transgender | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,802 | +$38 +1.0% | 20 |
| 438d |  Pestle | Transgender | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,455 | +$45 +1.0% | 20 |
| 438d |  AgricultureSecretary | Transgender | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,583 | +$84 +1.8% | 20 |
| 438d | user-213094o | Transgender | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,651 | +$90 +3.4% | 20 |
| 438d |  noreasapa | Transgender | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,928 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 438d |  .jeet | Transgender | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 440d | Yerimii | Through the roof | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,027 | −$1,027 −100% | 22 |
smoko45 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 11, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and August 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Transgender means the market gives it about 100%.