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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | −9 pts | −69 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ballroom | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Boom / Booming | 0% | −40 pts | −74 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| World War | 0% | −10 pts | −68 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Incompetent | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Who Are You | 0% | +3 pts | −57 pts | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Through The Roof | 0% | −3 pts | −77 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Karoline / Leavitt | 100% | +31 pts | — | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 0% | −1 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God | 100% | +24 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Little Rocket Man | 0% | +1 pts | −3 pts | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Maduro | 0% | −14 pts | −22 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Transgender | 100% | +31 pts | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| America First | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hunter | 0% | −14 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Human Printer | 0% | −3 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | Maduro | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,112 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 54d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 54d |  yen4u | Little Rocket Man | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,031 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 60d |  AgricultureSecretary | Ballroom | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Barack Hussein Obama means the market gives it about 0%.