Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very Merry Christmas | 100% | −1 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Colorado | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Too Late | 0% | +9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Happy New Year | 100% | −9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump Family | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 5th | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dog | 0% | +3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ISIS | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Transgender | 0% | +6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jesus Christ | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 0% | +12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Epstein | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bibi / Israel | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ass / Shit | 100% | −7 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tough Cookie | 0% | +22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| World Cup | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baby | 0% | +9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302d | Gumayusi12 fills | Dog | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $2,782 | −$2,782 −100% | 25 |
| 303d | LBZone2 fills | Very Merry Christmas | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,232 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 303d |  JoeTrum | Happy New Year | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,164 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 303d |  Cloverince | Very Merry Christmas | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,000 | +$20 +0.3% | 20 |
| 303d |  opolon | Very Merry Christmas | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,925 | +$35 +0.4% | 20 |
| 303d | JoeTrum5 fills | Very Merry Christmas | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,745 | +$25 +0.2% | 20 |
| 303d | sleepin | Very Merry Christmas | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,636 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 303d |  ClownPagliacci | Very Merry Christmas | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,385 | +$9 +0.4% | 20 |
| 303d |  igor889 | Very Merry Christmas | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,320 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 303d | JoeTrum2 fills | ISIS | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,820 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 304d | yougotme | November 5th | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,697 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 304d | yougotme | Colorado | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,352 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 304d |  Bertapotamous2 fills | Colorado | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,008 | +$238 +2.4% | 20 |
| 304d | Bertapotamous | November 5th | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,024 | +$56 +2.8% | 20 |
| 305d |  noreasapa | Epstein | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,349 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 22, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Very Merry Christmas means the market gives it about 100%.