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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mass Destruction | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Transgender | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Golden Dome | 0% | +1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tren de Aragua | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 100% | −1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Restaurant | 0% | +1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight Fight Fight | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fleet | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy / Italian | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Golden Dome / Golden Age | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Unaffordable Care Act | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Space Force | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Autopen | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Made in America | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Directly To The People | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Grid | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| TrumpRX | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dell | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nobel / Peace Prize | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Whole Dictionary | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iowa | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| TikTok | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crooked | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Waste | 100% | −12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232d | perroperro | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $66,080 | −$66 −0.1% | — |
| 232d | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $3,341 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 233d | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $59,940 | −$60 −0.1% | — | |
| 233d | cripes33 fills | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $20,080 | −$38 −0.2% | — |
| 233d | plankton2 | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $3,000 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 233d | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 233d | ngggrah | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $3,000 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 233d | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $3,000 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 233d | stablegenius573 | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 233d | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $142,347 | −$142 −0.1% | — | |
| 233d | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $4,595 | −$9 −0.2% | — | |
| 233d | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 233d | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $224,923 | +$233 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 233d | cripes3 | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,974 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 233d | 12100K2 fills | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $11,155 | −$54 −0.5% | — |
| 233d | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $63,918 | +$280 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 233d | 33333333334332 fills | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,739 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 233d | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,396 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 233d | HODLOR-755 | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 233d | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $39,558 | −$105 −0.3% | — | |
| 233d | Dead-Skylightt | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,303 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 233d | Bessent2028 | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,139 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 233d | RacistUser | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,584 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 233d | ParsnipDessert | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,862 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 233d | vvvix | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,111 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 233d | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $315,573 | +$719 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 233d | alliswell2 fills | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,956 | +$104 +0.4% | 20 |
| 233d | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,622 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 234d | plankton2 | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,522 | +$17 +0.2% | 20 |
| 234d | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 234d | uuuyuq | Waste | SellYes>99¢ | $1,054 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 234d | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,155 | +$17 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 234d | 123412341234 | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,083 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 235d | Waste | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 235d | Waste | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,892 | +$73 +1.2% | 20 | |
| 235d | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,391 | +$9 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 235d | Waste | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,017 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 235d | Trustinghorse | Waste | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,461 | +$35 +1.0% | 20 |
| 236d | Waste | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,235 | +$40 +1.8% | 20 | |
| 236d | Waste | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,202 | −$268 −2.9% | — | |
| 236d | Waste | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,877 | +$123 +4.3% | 20 | |
| 236d | Waste | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,182 | −$1,182 −100% | 20 | |
| 236d | Golden Dome | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,056 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 236d | Waste | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 20 | |
| 236d | Trustinghorse | Waste | BuyNo>99¢ → 0¢ | $1,539 | −$1,539 −100% | 20 |
| 236d | Trustinghorse | Whole Dictionary | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,162 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 236d | Trustinghorse | Restaurant | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 236d | Trustinghorse | Golden Dome | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,254 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 236d | Trustinghorse | Tren de Aragua | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,797 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 238d | ForFamily3 fills | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,128 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 238d | cobaltwhisper23 | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,451 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 245d | RootedBoreal6 fills | Mass Destruction | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $20,000 | +$20,000 +100% | — |
| 245d | RootedBoreal | Mass Destruction | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $20,800 | −$20,800 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between February 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mass Destruction means the market gives it about 100%.