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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pilot | 100% | +10 pts | — | 70¢ · 99¢ (29¢) | — | ended |
| Waitress | 100% | −3 pts | — | 24¢ · >99¢ (76¢) | — | ended |
| Muscle / Muscular | 100% | +74 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Swim / Swimming | 100% | +39 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Handsome | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mardi Gras | 0% | −10 pts | −74 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Dad / Daddy | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Osama Bin Laden | 0% | +8 pts | −43 pts | — · 43¢ | — | ended |
| Third Term | 0% | −1 pts | +16 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Nobel | 0% | −4 pts | −54 pts | — · 24¢ | — | ended |
| Khomeini / Khamenei | 0% | 0 pts | +6 pts | — · 90¢ | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Budget | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d |  OraculumNobius | Pilot | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Pilot means the market gives it about 100%.
