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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees / Tigers | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| World Trade Center | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | 0 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Through the roof | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Boom / Booming | 100% | +13 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maduro | 0% | −5 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Not American | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tren de Aragua | 100% | +97 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Friend and foe | 0% | 0 pts | −63 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brazil | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liberal court | 0% | 0 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lunatic | 100% | — | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406d | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$21 +2.1% | 21 | |
| 406d | Through the roof | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,668 | +$56 +2.1% | 20 | |
| 406d | Yankees / Tigers | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,834 | +$59 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 409d | Boom / Booming | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,975 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 8, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and September 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yankees / Tigers means the market gives it about 100%.