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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A12 / A13 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arizona | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| CapEx | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Foundry | 100% | +6 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Taiwan 3+ times | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shortage | 100% | +1 pts | — | 5¢ · 100¢ (95¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nanometer | 100% | 0 pts | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| Memory | 0% | −94 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Agentic | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Data Center 5+ times | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Samsung | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Growth 5+ times | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Quarter 15+ times | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Margin | 100% | +5 pts | — | 93¢ · 100¢ (7¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of TSMC currently scheduled to take place on October 15, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for A12 / A13 means the market gives it about 0%.