Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Assad | 100% | +76 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Syria | 100% | +46 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HIMARS | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| WW3 | 0% | −61 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Denazification/Denazify | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Buffer | 0% | −41 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Clown | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Prigozhin | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Democracy | 0% | −75 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NATO 5+ times | 0% | −53 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump 5+ times | 0% | −71 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nazi | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wagner | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ukraine 10+ times | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| West 5+ times | 0% | −52 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear 3+ times | 100% | +56 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden 5+ times | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jew/Jewish | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 686d | longtern | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,881 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 686d |  Apsalar | HIMARS | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,505 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 686d | Apsalar | Prigozhin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,253 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 686d |  AgricultureSecretary | Prigozhin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,844 | +$38 +2.0% | 20 |
| 686d | AgricultureSecretary | Wagner | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$27 +2.1% | 20 |
| 686d | AgricultureSecretary | Kamala | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 686d |  Anon1792681 | China 5+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$30 +2.0% | 20 |
| 686d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,614 | +$119 +1.8% | 20 |
| 686d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Clown | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,085 | +$56 +2.7% | 20 |
| 687d | AgricultureSecretary | NATO 5+ times | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$327 +25% | 20 |
| 687d | AgricultureSecretary | Denazification/Denazify | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | +$40 +3.1% | 20 |
| 687d | AgricultureSecretary | Assad | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,185 | +$65 +1.1% | 20 |
| 687d | AgricultureSecretary | Syria | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,920 | +$50 +1.0% | 20 |
mango0x6,000 shares
Moonsky186 sharesThis is a market on predicting what Tucker Carlson will say during his interview with Sergey Lavrov.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.