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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala 20+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 10+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| FEMA | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump 15+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Second Chance | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mamaw | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Poison | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fentanyl 3+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Walz | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Haitian | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Salt/SALT | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Springfield 3+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Helene | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fired | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hillbilly | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aurora | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 745d | upolio | Border 10+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,108 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 745d |  syncope2 fills | Kamala 20+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,408 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Vance during his rally in Detroit, Michigan.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kamala 20+ times means the market gives it about 100%.