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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| We Need 3+ times | 100% | +59 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia 10+ times | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Money 5+ times | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Slava Ukraini | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HIMARS | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Criminal | 0% | −69 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Putin | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kursk | 0% | −62 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peace 3+ times | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 758d | ssxeet | Money 5+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $2,428 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 758d | Money 5+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,639 | +$74 +2.0% | 20 | |
| 758d | Money 5+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$28 +2.0% | 20 | |
| 758d | Criminal | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,228 | +$142 +2.3% | 20 | |
| 758d | We Need 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,959 | +$60 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 758d | Bink_7 | We Need 3+ times | SellNo55¢ → 0¢ | $2,004 | +$2,004 +100% | — |
| 758d | Russia 10+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$240 +14% | 22 | |
| 758d | Bink_7 | Russia 10+ times | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$377 +28% | 24 |
| 758d | Sanity | Russia 10+ times | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,473 | −$1,473 −100% | 27 |
| 759d | Bink_7 | Putin | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$78 +7.5% | 21 |
| 759d | Bink_7 | We Need 3+ times | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $3,197 | −$3,197 −100% | 25 |
| 759d | HIMARS | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,705 | +$440 +16% | 22 | |
| 759d | We Need 3+ times | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,409 | +$1,409 +100% | — | |
| 759d | Bidensupporter123 | Putin | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,242 | +$277 +12% | 22 |
This is a market group over what Volodymyr Zelensky will say during his speech at the General Assembly High-level Week 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for We Need 3+ times means the market gives it about 100%.