Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affordable / Affordability | 0% | −81 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shelter | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Immigrant | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Historic | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Eric / Adams | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Civic | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brothers and sisters | 0% | −99 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crisis | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump / The President | 100% | −4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Politics | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Manhattan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Democracy | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Transit | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Billionaire | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Legacy | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Venezuela / Maduro | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Social | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daycare | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −76 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 283d | plankton2 | Affordable / Affordability | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 283d | Eric / Adams | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$18 +1.3% | 20 | |
| 283d | Daycare | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 283d | Civic | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$15 +1.5% | 20 | |
| 283d | Immigrant | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,582 | +$83 +3.2% | 20 | |
| 283d | Venezuela / Maduro | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$19 +1.3% | 20 | |
| 283d | Legacy | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | +$14 +1.1% | 20 | |
| 283d | Shelter | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,744 | +$47 +1.7% | 20 | |
| 283d | Billionaire | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,409 | +$19 +1.3% | 20 | |
| 283d | Democracy | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | +$22 +1.4% | 20 | |
| 283d | Affordable / Affordability | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$162 +6.7% | 20 | |
| 283d | Michael5289 | Affordable / Affordability | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$85 +5.3% | 20 |
| 283d | Brothers and sisters | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,458 | +$18 +1.2% | 20 | |
| 283d | Historic | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$15 +1.2% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during the next New York City Mayor's Office announcement he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market. If no such press announcement happens by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Mamdani ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the next New York City Mayor's Office announcement refers to the first livestream after market creation from the NYC Mayor's Office main Youtube channel. The resolution source for this market will be video from the NYC Mayor's Office YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/nycmayorsoffice).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Affordable / Affordability means the market gives it about 0%.