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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| by September 30, 2027 | 67% | — | −7 pts | 63¢ · 70¢ (7¢) | — | in 346d |
| by March 31, 2027 | 52% | +2 pts | −12 pts | 49¢ · 54¢ (5¢) | — | in 163d |
| by December 31, 2027 | 69% | −4 pts | −6 pts | 66¢ · 72¢ (6¢) | $105 | in 438d |
| by June 30, 2027 | 62% | −3 pts | −9 pts | 59¢ · 64¢ (5¢) | $84 | in 254d |
| by December 31, 2026 | 32% | −1 pts | −15 pts | 28¢ · 35¢ (7¢) | $42 | in 73d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29d | 0xf705…3ca7 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$440 +28% | 2 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $3,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 67¢ for by September 30, 2027 means the market gives it about 67%.