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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| by March 31, 2027 | 18% | −2 pts | −5 pts | 16¢ · 20¢ (4¢) | — | in 164d |
| by December 31, 2027 | 55% | −4 pts | −14 pts | 45¢ · 65¢ (20¢) | — | in 439d |
| by December 31, 2026 | 5% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | $117 | in 74d |
| by June 30, 2027 | 24% | — | −13 pts | 23¢ · 24¢ (1¢) | $20 | in 255d |
| by September 30, 2027 | 32% | +1 pts | −4 pts | 28¢ · 36¢ (8¢) | $9.38 | in 347d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d | getbipped | by September 30, 2027 | BuyYes36¢ → 32¢ | $1,440 | −$160 −11% | 8 |
| 51d | herbertdudu3 fills | by September 30, 2027 | BuyNo63¢ → 68¢ | $5,686 | +$488 +8.6% | 7 |
| 57d | getbipped | Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,243 | +$169 +7.5% | 2 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $4,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 18¢ for by March 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 18%.
