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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Q4 2021? | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| By Q1 2022? | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| By Q2 2022? | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| By Q3 2022? | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| By Q4 2022? | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market group on when the next U.S. recession (defined as a negative change in quarterly U.S. real GDP) will occur.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for By Q4 2021? means the market gives it about <1%.