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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 31 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 19 | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 642d | Ordon | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,983 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 642d |  Slowroasted | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,071 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 642d |  AgricultureSecretary | January 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,573 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 642d |  tsybka | January 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,185 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 642d |  DancingonMarshmellos | January 19 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,678 | +$300 +6.4% | 20 |
| 642d | startrader644 | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,874 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 643d |  FrancisSP8 | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,054 | +$21 +1.0% | 20 |
| 643d | EGH | January 19 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$955 +75% | 20 |
| 644d | Slowroasted | January 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,962 | +$78 +4.0% | 20 |
| 646d | PGvWyy1cDV2 fills | January 19 | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 20 |
| 647d |  KimJonEn3 fills | January 31 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,698 | +$459 +8.1% | 22 |
| 648d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,210 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 648d | Dar1us | January 19 | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,320 | −$1,090 −47% | — |
| 649d | thepowerofgg | January 19 | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $1,838 | −$1,838 −100% | 31 |
| 650d | Hashbrown | January 12 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$28 +2.4% | 21 |
| 650d |  starbuck02 | January 12 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,137 | +$603 +28% | 24 |
Tamont421,000 shares
Konmoret761,000 shares
chokopiegojo1,000 shares
s4vgeura241,000 sharesThis is a market on predicting when the Palisades fire will reach 50% containment.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for January 31 means the market gives it about 100%.