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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| by March 31, 2027 | 31% | −7 pts | −20 pts | 29¢ · 33¢ (4¢) | — | in 165d |
| by September 30, 2027 | 47% | +1 pts | −2 pts | 44¢ · 50¢ (6¢) | — | in 348d |
| by December 31, 2026 | 14% | +1 pts | −12 pts | 10¢ · 17¢ (7¢) | $181 | in 75d |
| by June 30, 2027 | 41% | −6 pts | −11 pts | 38¢ · 43¢ (5¢) | $148 | in 256d |
| by December 31, 2027 | 45% | +1 pts | −10 pts | 41¢ · 48¢ (7¢) | $66.9 | in 440d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | Delgadoghost2 fills | by December 31, 2026 | BuyYes41¢ → 14¢ | $2,500 | −$1,679 −67% | 9 |
| 23d | DFV2 | Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | −$108 −5.4% | — |
| 30d | oegdatam | Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,027 | +$69 +3.4% | 2 |
| 30d | DFV23 fills | Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,015 | +$319 +5.3% | 2 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $2. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 31¢ for by March 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 31%.