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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barcelona | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bayern Munich | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chelsea | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Al-Hilal | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liverpool | 0% | — | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arsenal | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manchester United | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inter Milan | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fenerbahce | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Besiktas | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Team D | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Team E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| AC Milan | 0% | 0 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | Galatasaray | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,327 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | Ref00 | Fenerbahce | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,819 | +$202 +11% | 4 |
| 82d |  Hot-SkullHomelessBegger2 fills | Fenerbahce | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | +$1,172 +47% | 4 |
| 84d | daski | Manchester United | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$226 +21% | 4 |
Ofek4643256 sharesThis market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan". If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Galatasaray means the market gives it about 100%.