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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariana Grande | 100% | +3 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kanye West | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Swift | 100% | +2 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Olivia Dean | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 100% | +7 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drake | 0% | −47 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gracie Abrams | 0% | −41 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bruno Mars | 0% | −48 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Noah Kahan | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Don Toliver | 0% | −48 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Beyonce | 0% | −48 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Weeknd | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bad Bunny | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Warren | 0% | −1 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142d |  HomeAloneNope | Ariana Grande | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
bjprolo5 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ariana Grande means the market gives it about 100%.