Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man | 93% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 92¢ · 94¢ (2¢) | — | in 250d |
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine | 94% | +2 pts | −2 pts | 92¢ · 95¢ (3¢) | — | in 250d |
| Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man | 30% | −1 pts | — | 29¢ · 31¢ (2¢) | — | in 250d |
| Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan | 49% | — | −4 pts | 48¢ · 50¢ (2¢) | — | in 250d |
| Benedict Wong as Wong | 78% | — | +13 pts | 77¢ · 79¢ (2¢) | — | in 250d |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp | 9% | — | +1 pts | 7¢ · 10¢ (3¢) | — | in 250d |
| Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop | 80% | — | — | 79¢ · 81¢ (2¢) | — | in 250d |
| Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch | 62% | +2 pts | +1 pts | 61¢ · 63¢ (2¢) | — | in 250d |
| Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez | 52% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 51¢ · 53¢ (2¢) | — | in 250d |
| Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool | 89% | −6 pts | −3 pts | 88¢ · 90¢ (2¢) | $491 | in 250d |
| Halle Berry as Storm | 14% | +2 pts | −2 pts | 13¢ · 16¢ (3¢) | $418 | in 250d |
| Brie Larson as Captain Marvel | 52% | −6 pts | +3 pts | 50¢ · 54¢ (4¢) | $391 | in 250d |
| Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine | 20% | −3 pts | −12 pts | 18¢ · 22¢ (4¢) | $319 | in 250d |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk | 74% | +1 pts | +4 pts | 72¢ · 75¢ (3¢) | $206 | in 250d |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man | 46% | +2 pts | +1 pts | 44¢ · 47¢ (3¢) | $100 | in 250d |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange | 90% | +2 pts | — | 86¢ · 93¢ (7¢) | $90 | in 250d |
| Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts | 59% | −3 pts | +3 pts | 57¢ · 60¢ (3¢) | $59.9 | in 250d |
| Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau | 81% | +1 pts | +4 pts | 79¢ · 83¢ (4¢) | $40 | in 250d |
| Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel | 74% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 72¢ · 75¢ (3¢) | $6.7 | in 250d |
| Jonathan Majors as Kang | 9% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 8¢ · 10¢ (2¢) | $5.58 | in 250d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Stonktrader | Halle Berry as Storm | BuyNo83¢ → 86¢ | $1,493 | +$46 +3.1% | 15 |
| 102d |  CosmicCedar | Simu Liu as Shang-Chi? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,912 | +$40 +2.1% | 4 |
| 184d |  BigodinSagaz | Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$145 +11% | 4 |
Annihilation417 shares
MeIsTRUBH168 shares
Red781RuM117 shares
DuneMentat107 shares
macrosteaks227 sharesAvengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 93¢ for Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man means the market gives it about 93%.