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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | 0% | −1 pts | −28 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Egypt | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −2 pts | −23 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US | 0% | −3 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| UAE | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spain | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jordan | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 440d | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 442d | Israel | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,211 | +$18 +0.8% | 4 | |
| 448d | France | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,260 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 448d | LBZone | Spain | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 448d | LBZone | France | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,063 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 448d | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,230 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 448d | France | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,692 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 448d | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 448d | France | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 449d | Egypt | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,888 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 449d | SweetChariot | Egypt | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,954 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 449d | Egypt | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,835 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 449d | UAE | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,225 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 449d | UAE | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,918 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 449d | UAE | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,533 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 450d | Jordan | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,272 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 450d | Jordan | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,859 | +$19 +1.0% | 4 |
Israel announced on July 25, 2025, that it will now permit foreign countries to parachute humanitarian aid into Gaza. This market will resolve based on which listed countries drop humanitarian aid into the Gaza Strip from the air between July 29 and August 8, 2025 ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant listed countries, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Israel means the market gives it about 0%.