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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mexico | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| European Union | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| United Kingdom | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 633d | China | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,862 | −$38 −1.3% | — | |
| 634d | Canada | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,319 | +$48 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 634d | gotigers | China | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,131 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | canndyfiend | Canada | SellNo>99¢ | $10,001 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 635d | Japan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 636d | canndyfiend | Canada | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,232 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 636d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Mexico | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$14 +1.3% | 20 |
| 638d | Mexico | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | +$25 +2.0% | 20 | |
| 639d | European Union | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,653 | +$19 +0.7% | 20 | |
| 639d | ChristianHorst | Mexico | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | −$64 −5.3% | — |
| 639d | ChristianHorst | Canada | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | +$42 +3.2% | 20 |
This is a market on the countries where Trump is predicted to impose tariffs during his first week in office.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Canada means the market gives it about 0%.