Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiara of Empress Eugénie | 0% | −3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Napoleon’s emerald wedding gift set | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Empress Eugénie bow | 0% | −6 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sapphire set | 0% | −3 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Empress Eugénie brooch | 0% | −6 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357d | Empress Eugénie brooch | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,161 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 357d | Napoleon’s emerald wedding gift set | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,161 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 357d | Sapphire set | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,161 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 357d | Tiara of Empress Eugénie | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,161 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 357d | Empress Eugénie bow | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,161 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed piece(s) of jewelry stolen from the Louvre’s Galerie d’Apollon are officially confirmed as recovered by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A single complete item (e.g., a tiara, brooch, or one earring from a pair) will suffice for a “Yes” resolution for that piece or set, even if a element like a pearl or a stone is missing; however, recovery of only a fragment, detached gem, or partial component (e.g., a loose stone or frame fragment) will not suffice. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Louvre Museum or the French government. If no such statement is available, the market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Tiara of Empress Eugénie means the market gives it about 0%.