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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resni.ca (Res) | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Freedom Movement (GS) | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) | 0% | −4 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Democrats (D) | 100% | +1 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Social Democrats (SD) | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| The Left (Levica) | 0% | 0 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Slovenian National Party (SNS) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Our Country (ND) | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Party of Generations (SG) | 0% | 0 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Prerod (PVP) | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141d | thcdmz | Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,052 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 141d |  iutwpfal | Resni.ca (Res) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,028 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 148d |  Hannah-Montana | Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$246 +16% | 4 |
| 217d | MarkoBitenc | Democrats (D) | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,610 | +$320 +20% | 7 |
| 221d | andreagaleazzi | Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$135 +12% | 5 |
HankS10 sharesParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful vote of confidence in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Resni.ca (Res) means the market gives it about 0%.