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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 100% | +22 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| PC | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · 10¢ | — | ended |
| Greens | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 734d | Sjsjjyyy | Liberal | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$702 +35% | 14 |
| 734d | Asiw | Liberal | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | −$532 −39% | — |
| 734d | NAKSDW | Liberal | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | −$532 −39% | — |
| 734d | NAKSDW | Liberal | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | +$532 +39% | 15 |
| 734d | Asiw | Liberal | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | +$532 +39% | 15 |
| 734d | SUWkiw | Liberal | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,944 | −$756 −39% | — |
| 734d | SUWkiw | Liberal | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,944 | +$756 +39% | 15 |
| 734d | Gshty | Liberal | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$504 +39% | 15 |
| 734d | Losutsss | Liberal | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,016 | +$784 +39% | 15 |
| 737d | Dkjkw | Liberal | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$900 −82% | — |
| 737d | Dkjkw | Liberal | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$860 +75% | 12 |
| 737d | Dkjkw | Liberal | SellNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,075 | +$1,075 +100% | — |
| 737d | Dkjkw | Liberal | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 12 |
| 737d | Akswa | Liberal | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$900 −82% | — |
| 737d | Akswa | Liberal | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$860 +75% | 12 |
| 737d | Akswa | Liberal | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | +$1,100 +100% | — |
| 737d | Akswa | Liberal | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 12 |
| 737d | SIUWsw | Liberal | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$900 −82% | — |
| 737d | SIUWsw | Liberal | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$860 +75% | 12 |
| 737d | SIUWsw | Liberal | SellNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,075 | +$1,075 +100% | — |
| 737d | SIUWsw | Liberal | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 12 |
| 737d | AKIsdw | Liberal | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | +$1,100 +100% | — |
| 737d | AKIsdw | Liberal | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 12 |
| 737d | Amusing-BanyanNew account | Liberal | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | +$1,100 +100% | — |
| 737d | Amusing-BanyanNew account | Liberal | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 12 |
| 737d | Easy-MultimediaNew account | Liberal | SellNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | +$1,170 +100% | — |
| 737d | Easy-MultimediaNew account | Liberal | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | −$1,260 −100% | 12 |
| 737d | SDWSsdw | Liberal | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | −$990 −82% | — |
| 737d | SDWSsdw | Liberal | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | +$968 +79% | 12 |
| 737d | SDWSsdw | Liberal | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | +$1,100 +100% | — |
| 737d | SDWSsdw | Liberal | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 12 |
| 737d |  nsht8888 | Liberal | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | +$946 +79% | 12 |
| 737d |  JHSYTt | Liberal | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$885 +79% | 12 |
| 737d | Assrgrg | Liberal | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,320 | +$1,320 +100% | — |
| 737d | Assrgrg | Liberal | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 12 |
| 737d | GTHaaaa | Liberal | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,188 | +$1,188 +100% | — |
| 737d | GTHaaaa | Liberal | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,215 | −$1,215 −100% | 12 |
| 737d | FGHTYH | Liberal | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,320 | +$1,320 +100% | — |
| 737d | FGHTYH | Liberal | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 12 |
| 737d | GHYTH | Liberal | SellNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | +$1,260 +100% | — |
| 737d | GHYTH | Liberal | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | −$1,260 −100% | 12 |
| 737d | Mksiw | Liberal | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $1,007 | −$1,007 −100% | 12 |
| 738d |  MOUSYT | Liberal | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$796 +72% | 12 |
| 738d | VNksiw | Liberal | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$972 −85% | — |
| 738d | VNksiw | Liberal | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$887 +72% | 12 |
| 738d | VNksiw | Liberal | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $1,038 | −$1,038 −100% | 12 |
| 738d | Sslwow | Liberal | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | −$912 −85% | — |
| 738d | Sslwow | Liberal | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$832 +72% | 12 |
| 738d | Sslwow | Liberal | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | +$1,125 +100% | — |
| 738d | Sslwow | Liberal | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $1,232 | −$1,232 −100% | 12 |
| 761d | goingsocial | PC | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $2,599 | −$2,599 −100% | 12 |
This is a market group over which party will win a plurality in the 2024 New Brunswick general election, scheduled for October 21.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Liberal means the market gives it about 100%.