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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans win both | 100% | +74 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Democrats win both | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| D Presidency, R Popular Vote | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| R Presidency, D Popular Vote | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $9,458 | −$23 −0.2% | — | |
| 716d | Liquidifier | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 716d | 262SkySurfer | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $1,257 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 716d | SCD-8079 fills | Republicans win both | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $222,195 | +$10,460 +4.7% | 10 |
| 716d | ContrapunctusFerrum | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $4,604 | −$18 −0.4% | — |
| 716d | oVyg7f2 fills | Republicans win both | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $7,092 | −$2,070 −29% | — |
| 716d | Nizzler | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $3,441 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 716d | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $2,541 | −$5 −0.2% | — | |
| 716d | RMupOnly | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $7,943 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 716d | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $4,829 | −$10 −0.2% | — | |
| 716d | Chaim50 | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $1,112 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 716d | Chaim50 | Republicans win both | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,114 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $17,964 | −$36 −0.2% | — |
| 716d | SexyBeast24 | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $2,071 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 716d | DFKK2 fills | D Presidency, R Popular Vote | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 716d | Republicans win both | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,955 | −$45 −0.9% | — | |
| 716d | Leafboat | D Presidency, R Popular Vote | SellNo>99¢ | $1,026 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 716d | indiansailor | Republicans win both | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,802 | −$73 −1.5% | — |
| 716d | Republicans win both | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $31,508 | −$31,200 −99% | — | |
| 716d | Republicans win both | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,457 | +$32 +0.4% | 10 | |
| 716d | Republicans win both | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | −$23 −1.2% | — | |
| 716d | Liquidifier | Republicans win both | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,891 | +$19 +1.0% | 10 |
| 716d | Chosenonee | Republicans win both | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$16 −1.5% | — |
| 716d | VvVv | Republicans win both | SellYes>99¢ | $3,545 | −$14 −0.4% | — |
| 716d | thedonmoss | Republicans win both | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | −$24 −1.6% | — |
| 717d | rtrwwe | R Presidency, D Popular Vote | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,650 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 717d | Republicans win both | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,523 | +$23 +0.9% | 10 | |
| 717d | D Presidency, R Popular Vote | SellNo>99¢ | $2,523 | −$5 −0.2% | — | |
| 717d | Republicans win both | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,809 | +$78 +2.0% | 10 | |
| 717d | 0xfe91…70ff3 fills | Republicans win both | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $16,835 | +$4,158 +25% | 10 |
| 717d | VvVv | Republicans win both | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $14,400 | +$600 +4.2% | 10 |
| 717d | Republicans win both | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $101,910 | +$4,246 +4.2% | 10 | |
| 717d | Republicans win both | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,097 | +$129 +4.2% | 10 | |
| 717d | SureBet7452 fills | Republicans win both | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $13,055 | −$1,057 −8.1% | — |
| 717d | D Presidency, R Popular Vote | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,435 | +$9 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 717d | Republicans win both | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,669 | +$130 +3.5% | 10 | |
| 717d | Republicans win both | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $13,456 | +$1,177 +8.7% | 10 | |
| 717d | R Presidency, D Popular Vote | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $3,220 | −$3,220 −100% | 19 | |
| 717d | WW- | Republicans win both | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,210 | +$92 +4.2% | 10 |
| 717d | 8BlocksCapital2 fills | Republicans win both | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $8,399 | +$2,064 +25% | 10 |
| 717d | Adi1988 | Republicans win both | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,098 | −$389 −7.6% | — |
| 717d | Muted-Stew | Republicans win both | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $7,514 | −$653 −8.7% | — |
| 717d | Republicans win both | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $35,937 | −$2,895 −8.1% | — | |
| 717d | politcsbetttooor | Republicans win both | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,400 | −$600 −11% | — |
| 717d | ckw2 fills | Republicans win both | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $3,104 | −$3,104 −100% | 19 |
| 717d | Airjj | Republicans win both | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$104 −9.9% | — |
| 717d | presbet3 fills | Republicans win both | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $28,689 | −$4,801 −17% | — |
| 717d | astroo | R Presidency, D Popular Vote | SellYes2¢ → 0¢ | $2,330 | +$2,330 +100% | — |
| 717d | toiletclown | R Presidency, D Popular Vote | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 13 |
| 717d | Republicans win both | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$945 +9.5% | 10 | |
| 717d | Ravanelli | Republicans win both | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$108 −9.9% | — |
| 717d | Republicans win both | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,949 | +$169 +8.7% | 10 | |
| 717d | JSS2 fills | R Presidency, D Popular Vote | SellYes8¢ → 0¢ | $6,471 | +$6,471 +100% | — |
| 717d | Gekkoghost | R Presidency, D Popular Vote | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $1,685 | −$1,685 −100% | 14 |
| 717d | oVyg7f5 fills | Republicans win both | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $7,598 | +$1,932 +25% | 10 |
| 717d | R Presidency, D Popular Vote | SellYes11¢ → 0¢ | $4,456 | +$4,456 +100% | — | |
| 717d | R Presidency, D Popular Vote | SellYes6¢ → 0¢ | $3,337 | +$3,337 +100% | — | |
| 717d | alau1218 | Republicans win both | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,645 | +$405 +11% | 10 |
| 717d | D Presidency, R Popular Vote | SellNo100¢ | $9,950 | −$50 −0.5% | — | |
| 717d | jjk123 | R Presidency, D Popular Vote | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting which political party will win both the presidential election and the popular vote in the upcoming election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Republicans win both means the market gives it about 100%.