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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSDP | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| TS-LKD | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| LVŽS | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DSVL | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726d | SantosH | LSDP | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 726d | LSDP | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,195 | −$260 −6.2% | — | |
| 726d | thomasanderson-089 | LSDP | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,053 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 734d | Tennis | LSDP | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,897 | −$511 −18% | — |
| 737d | LSDP | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | −$231 −19% | — | |
| 739d | duckduck | LSDP | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$291 +11% | 10 |
| 740d | Nonstop-Disclosure | TS-LKD | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 10 |
| 740d | Nonstop-Disclosure | LSDP | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $3,309 | −$1,487 −45% | — |
| 740d | Nonstop-Disclosure | TS-LKD | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$69 +5.6% | 10 |
| 740d | Nonstop-Disclosure | LSDP | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,492 | +$267 +6.0% | 10 |
| 740d | LSDP | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,665 | +$149 +3.2% | 11 | |
| 740d | VvVv | DSVL | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,276 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 740d | LSDP | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | +$70 +3.6% | 10 | |
| 741d | Tennis | LSDP | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,269 | +$129 +4.0% | 11 |
| 742d | LSDP | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | −$72 −6.4% | — | |
| 742d | LSDP | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,815 | +$305 +8.0% | 10 | |
| 742d | Ten-566 | NA | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$29 +1.4% | 10 |
| 742d | EUROPA-751 | LSDP | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | +$146 +8.7% | 11 |
| 746d | LSDP | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 11 | |
| 764d | NA | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | −$18 −1.6% | — |
This is a market over which party will win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuanian parliamentary election, scheduled to take place on October 13, with a possible second round on October 27.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for LSDP means the market gives it about 100%.