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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rand Paul | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ron Johnson | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thom Tillis | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lisa Murkowski | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Susan Collins | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480d |  DirkDiggler67 | Thom Tillis | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,767 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 480d | DirkDiggler672 fills | Rand Paul | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,697 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 480d |  syncope | Lisa Murkowski | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,620 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 480d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Rand Paul | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,516 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 480d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Thom Tillis | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 480d |  Slowroasted | Rand Paul | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,012 | +$9 +0.3% | 10 |
| 480d | DirkDiggler67 | Lisa Murkowski | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$11 +1.0% | 10 |
| 480d | DirkDiggler672 fills | Ron Johnson | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,040 | +$70 +1.7% | 10 |
| 480d | DirkDiggler67 | Mitch McConnell | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,117 | +$44 +1.1% | 10 |
| 480d | unwillingly-public2 fills | Mitch McConnell | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,806 | +$204 +4.3% | 10 |
TimeTraveler8,300 shares
icecoldeddie1,521 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed U.S. Senator votes for the next reconciliation bill in the Senate by December 21, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mitch McConnell means the market gives it about 100%.